β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Feb 18, 03:15 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Massa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio β0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Bari β0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | β½ | Gianluca Lapadula Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 32' | π¨ | Edoardo Goldaniga Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 34' | π¨ | Gianluca Lapadula Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 35' | π¨ | Ruben Botta Β· Bari |
| 56' | π¨ | Gianluca Lapadula Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 56' | π₯ | Gianluca Lapadula Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 77' | π¨ | Gabriele Zappa Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | π¨ | Vincenzo Millico Β· Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | β½ (pen) | Mirco Antenucci Β· Bari |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 597.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1551.63 | 1537.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.74 | 1.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.76 |
| league points | 39.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 25.28 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |