← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ascoli win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 18' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 63' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 68' | 🟨 | Simon Sohm · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 79' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vasilios Zagaritis · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 201.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.01 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1512.27 | 1472.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.01 | -27.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 34.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 28.75 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |