← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Spal win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Spal +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Spal |
| 8' | 🟨 | Luis Binks · Como 1907 |
| 38' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 60' | 🟨 | Radja Nainggolan · Spal |
| 74' | 🟨 | Marco Varnier · Spal |
| 84' | 🟨 | Matteo Arena · Spal |
| 85' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 140.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1422.81 | 1423.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.67 | 1.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.80 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| league points | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.38 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 26.89 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |