← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Ternana win | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
| 19' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
| 36' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lautaro Valenti · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marino Defendi · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 72.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1455.19 | 1512.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.55 | 2.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 27.51 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |