β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Feb 11, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 43% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Pisa win | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa β0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Reggina β0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | π¨ | Stefano Moreo Β· Pisa |
| 34' | π¨ | Pietro Beruatto Β· Pisa |
| 52' | π¨ | Mario Gargiulo Β· Pisa |
| 63' | β½ | Mario Gargiulo Β· Pisa |
| 70' | β½ (pen) | Ettore Gliozzi Β· Pisa |
| 73' | π¨ | Devid Eugene Bouah Β· Reggina |
| 90' | π¨ | Devid Eugene Bouah Β· Reggina |
| 90' | π₯ | Devid Eugene Bouah Β· Reggina |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.37 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 225.00 | 163.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1493.03 | 1541.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.33 | -18.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.76 |
| league points | 39.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.99 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |