← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Brescia win | 32% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Modena +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Shady Oukhadda · Modena |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · Brescia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Andrea Poli · Modena |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tommaso Silvestri · Modena |
| 77' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 10.00 | 1198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1444.99 | 1451.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.72 | 35.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 25.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 27.03 |
| state index | -1.45 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |