← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Feb 10, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Palermo win | 17% | 6.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Genoa CFC −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa CFC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Genoa CFC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Silvan Hefti · Genoa CFC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 71.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1586.42 | 1547.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.99 | 28.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| league points | 40.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.65 | — |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |