← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.58 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Genoa CFC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 32' | ⚽ | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Eddie Salcedo · Genoa CFC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Vasilios Zagaritis · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Sturaro · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 188.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.95 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1495.11 | 1603.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.03 | 30.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 30.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 27.90 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |