← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 35% | 2.92 |
| Palermo win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Reggina +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Reggina |
| 47' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Palermo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 76' | ⚽ (og) | Ivan Marconi · Reggina |
| 81' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Edoardo Soleri · Palermo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Devid Eugene Bouah · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟥 | Zan Majer · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 188.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1540.48 | 1500.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.49 | -2.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 28.51 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |