← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Valeri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Brescia win | 22% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Brescia −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 16' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 16' | 🟥 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 18' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 40' | ⚽ | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 126.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1472.46 | 1459.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.09 | -48.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.80 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.35 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.21 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |