← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Feb 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Ferrieri Caputi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Cittadella |
| 46' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 63' | 🟨 | Amato Ciciretti · Ascoli |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 78' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 26 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 583.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1440.52 | 1479.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.53 | -20.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 24.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 28.26 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |