← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Feb 3, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cagliari Calcio +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Marko Rog · Cagliari Calcio |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 29' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Cagliari Calcio |
| 36' | 🟨 | Romeo Giovannini · Modena |
| 43' | 🟨 | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marko Rog · Cagliari Calcio |
| 45' | 🟥 | Marko Rog · Cagliari Calcio |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Modena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Christos Kourfalidis · Cagliari Calcio |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gabriele Zappa · Cagliari Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1190.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1434.01 | 1547.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.18 | 9.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.34 | 25.55 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |