← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Jan 29, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Palermo win | 30% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Ascoli |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Palermo |
| 82' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 212.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1490.45 | 1529.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.10 | 19.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| league points | 26.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 27.38 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |