← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 39% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Sudtirol win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Reggina +0.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Sudtirol |
| -5' | 🟥 | Marco Curto · Sudtirol |
| 15' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Sudtirol |
| 28' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Sudtirol |
| 36' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luigi Canotto · Reggina |
| 71' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Sudtirol |
| 85' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 86' | 🟨 | Giovanni Fabbian · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 180.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1511.57 | 1508.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.63 | 14.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.90 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 32.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.24 | 27.62 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |