← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Valeri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Cittadella win | 25% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 44' | 🟨 | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Ceppitelli · Venezia FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 48' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 81' | 🟥 | Ridgeciano Haps · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 88.00 | 576.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1447.70 | 1438.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.48 | -19.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |