← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 39% | 2.56 |
| Modena win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Modena +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Luca Ghiringhelli · Ternana |
| 16' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 28' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ternana |
| 30' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 33' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Ternana |
| 85' | 🟨 | Antony Iannarilli · Ternana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Niccolò Corrado · Ternana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 58.00 | 1184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1448.28 | 1442.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.88 | 18.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.96 | 28.38 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |