← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.14 |
| Perugia win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mirco Antenucci · Bari |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 75' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 81' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 24 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 576.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1560.79 | 1450.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.43 | 13.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| league points | 33.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 63.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 27.41 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -2.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |