← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Jan 22, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Brescia win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · Brescia |
| 26' | 🟨 | John Björkengren · Brescia |
| 32' | 🟨 | Pablo Rodríguez · Brescia |
| 37' | ⚽ | Luca Moro · Frosinone Calcio |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 40' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 48' | 🟨 | Karlo Lulić · Frosinone Calcio |
| 54' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Brescia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Frosinone Calcio |
| 79' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 52.00 | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1486.32 | 1588.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.23 | 20.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| league points | 25.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 25.59 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |