← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 21, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Cittadella win | 34% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cittadella +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Valerio Mastrantonio · Cittadella |
| 18' | 🟨 | Nahitan Nández · Cagliari Calcio |
| 20' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 30' | 🟨 | Giorgio Altare · Cagliari Calcio |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 52' | 🟥 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Ambrosino · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 569.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1437.24 | 1543.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.56 | 0.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 19.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.05 | 26.61 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |