← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 59% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Cosenza win | 17% | 6.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.75 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Cosenza −0.75 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 61' | 🟨 | Francesco Renzetti · Modena |
| 63' | 🟨 | Salvatore Dario La Vardera · Cosenza |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alessandro Micai · Cosenza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pietro Martino · Cosenza |
| 83' | ⚽ | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 85' | ⚽ | Romeo Giovannini · Modena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Enrico Brignola · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1177.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1432.96 | 1350.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.03 | -21.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 26.22 |
| state index | -0.20 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |