← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Spal win | 32% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Spal +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 39' | 🟨 | Matteo Prati · Spal |
| 41' | ⚽ | Claud Adjapong · Ascoli |
| 43' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟥 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 77' | 🟨 | Christophe Lungoyi · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 112.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1445.39 | 1490.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.83 | -21.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.73 | 27.86 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |