← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Jan 15, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Irrati
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.16 |
| Ascoli win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ternana −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 27' | ⚽ | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
| 54' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 62' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Ternana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ternana |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alessio Re · Ascoli |
| 86' | 🟨 | Niccolò Corrado · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Claud Adjapong · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 45.00 | 198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1445.48 | 1499.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.10 | -16.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 26.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 19.93 | 20.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |