← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Jan 15, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Sudtirol win | 33% | 3.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 21' | 🟨 | Luca Belardinelli · Sudtirol |
| 30' | ⚽ | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 58' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Alessandro Celli · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 167.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1492.73 | 1494.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.63 | -54.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| league points | 26.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 19.96 | 20.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.74 | 25.12 |
| state index | -0.32 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |