← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 14, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: P. Valeri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Modena win | 20% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Modena −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Karlo Lulić · Frosinone Calcio |
| 33' | 🟨 | Sergio Kalaj · Frosinone Calcio |
| 43' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 64' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 68' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Caso · Frosinone Calcio |
| 88' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 684.00 | 1170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1583.92 | 1437.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.49 | 26.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 39.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 18.93 | 19.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |