← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Jan 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Palermo win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 3' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 36' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nicola Valente · Palermo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jérémie Broh · Palermo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 105.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1461.67 | 1520.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.08 | 16.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 18.96 | 19.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.01 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.31 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |