← Serie B 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Ferrieri Caputi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Ternana win | 21% | 4.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ternana −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 22' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Ternana |
| 25' | 🟨 | Daniel Boloca · Frosinone Calcio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · Frosinone Calcio |
| 54' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 72' | ⚽ | Luca Garritano · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 665.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1574.76 | 1454.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.84 | -32.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| league points | 36.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 8.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 28.77 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |