← Serie B 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Spal win | 26% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Spal +0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 33' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 45' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · Spal |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hjörtur Hermannsson · Pisa |
| 54' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Sibilli · Pisa |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 62' | 🟥 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 65' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Mastinu · Pisa |
| 80' | 🟨 | Federico Barba · Pisa |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Spal |
| 83' | 🟨 | Olimpiu Moruțan · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 86.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1439.76 | 1559.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.80 | 40.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 20.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 8.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.52 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.32 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |