← Serie B 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.39 |
| Cosenza win | 14% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Cosenza |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nahitan Nández · Cagliari Calcio |
| 86' | ⚽ | Nunzio Lella · Cagliari Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cagliari Calcio | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Unipol Domus |
| coach days | 208.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1528.96 | 1353.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.78 | -13.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.84 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |