← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Spal win | 17% | 5.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Spal −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Simone Rabbi · Spal |
| 30' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 48' | 🟨 | Yordan Osorio · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Lautaro Valenti · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Christian Dalle Mura · Spal |
| 72' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Simon Sohm · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Enrico Alfonso · Spal |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 17 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 139.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1524.14 | 1425.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.48 | -28.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 26.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 5.73 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | 1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 25.92 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |