← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Sudtirol win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Cittadella |
| 20' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Cittadella |
| 20' | 🟥 | Andrea Danzi · Cittadella |
| 29' | ⚽ | Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · Sudtirol |
| 34' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Sudtirol |
| 45' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 56' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 71' | 🟨 | Filippo Berra · Sudtirol |
| 81' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 84' | 🟨 | Valerio Mastrantonio · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 535.00 | 139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1451.05 | 1498.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.88 | -11.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 43.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 35.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 28.56 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |