← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 11, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Modena win | 23% | 4.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Bari −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ruben Botta · Bari |
| 21' | ⚽ | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 25' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 26' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 29' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 29' | 🟥 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 35' | 🟨 | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 54' | ⚽ (og) | Giorgio Cittadini · Bari |
| 68' | 🟨 | Elia Caprile · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mallamo · Bari |
| 90' | ⚽ | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 26 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 528.00 | 1136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1560.37 | 1423.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.54 | 29.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 27.27 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |