← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Perugia win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Leonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari Calcio |
| 27' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 29' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Leonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari Calcio |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
| 81' | ⚽ | Leonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari Calcio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Zito Luvumbo · Cagliari Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cagliari Calcio | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Unipol Domus |
| coach days | 193.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1532.23 | 1437.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.23 | 6.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 3.67 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -2.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 28.28 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -2.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |