← Serie B 2022 · Thu, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Cosenza win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Brescia +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 71' | ⚽ | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Cosenza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 37.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1371.84 | 1529.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.11 | -9.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |