← Serie B 2022 · Thu, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Venezia FC win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Venezia FC +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Venezia FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 53' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Modena |
| 60' | ⚽ | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1133.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1423.94 | 1463.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.28 | -15.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 5.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.48 | 26.04 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |