← Serie B 2022 · Thu, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.73 |
| Bari win | 29% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 56% | 1.71 |
| Bari +0 | 44% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Bari |
| 32' | ⚽ | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ignacio Lores Varela · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Valerio Mastrantonio · Cittadella |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 84' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 84' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 525.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1474.80 | 1543.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.88 | -11.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 29.04 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |