← Serie B 2022 · Thu, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.35 |
| Sudtirol win | 13% | 8.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Genoa CFC −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa CFC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 47' | 🟨 | Silvan Hefti · Genoa CFC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Filippo Berra · Sudtirol |
| 52' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Genoa CFC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Michele Marconi · Sudtirol |
| 65' | ⚽ | George Pușcaș · Genoa CFC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Genoa CFC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 7.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1562.90 | 1511.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.28 | 0.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 28.86 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | -1.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |