β Serie B 2022 Β· Sun, Dec 4, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Sudtirol win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | β½ | Filippo De Col Β· Sudtirol |
| 53' | π¨ | Filippo De Col Β· Sudtirol |
| 62' | π¨ | Daniel Boloca Β· Frosinone Calcio |
| 80' | π¨ | Gennaro Borrelli Β· Frosinone Calcio |
| 82' | π¨ | Giovanni Zaro Β· Sudtirol |
| 90' | π¨ | Samuele Mulattieri Β· Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | β½ | Ilario Monterisi Β· Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 125.00 | 643.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1511.36 | 1568.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.57 | 29.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.44 | 26.61 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.57 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |