← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Reggina win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Reggina +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Giovanni Fabbian · Reggina |
| 11' | ⚽ | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 12' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hernani · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 3.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1549.43 | 1492.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.74 | 13.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| league points | 23.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.37 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |