β Serie B 2022 Β· Sun, Dec 4, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa β0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Bari β0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | π¨ | Adrian Rus Β· Pisa |
| 34' | π¨ | Francesco Vicari Β· Bari |
| 45' | π¨ | Aurelien Scheidler Β· Bari |
| 70' | π¨ | Raffaele Maiello Β· Bari |
| 76' | π¨ | Adrian Rus Β· Pisa |
| 76' | π₯ | Adrian Rus Β· Pisa |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 521.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1545.41 | 1530.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.91 | 31.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 26.27 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |