← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Como 1907 win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (og) | Alberto Cerri · Ascoli |
| 17' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Como 1907 |
| 28' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Como 1907 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 62' | 🟥 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jacopo Da Riva · Como 1907 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Amato Ciciretti · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mancuso · Como 1907 |
| 79' | ⚽ | Álex Blanco · Como 1907 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 83' | ⚽ | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Blanco · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 156.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1516.16 | 1381.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.68 | 29.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.40 | 46.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.02 | 26.16 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |