← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Cittadella win | 17% | 6.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Andrea Magrassi · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mattia Bani · Genoa CFC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Silvan Hefti · Genoa CFC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · Genoa CFC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 3.00 | 521.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1577.60 | 1460.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.01 | 1.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 28.01 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |