← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Dec 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Modena win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Modena +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · Spal |
| 35' | 🟥 | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 37' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 37' | 🟨 | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 39' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Andrea La Mantia · Modena |
| 58' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Spal |
| 62' | 🟨 | Christian Dalle Mura · Spal |
| 66' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 72' | ⚽ | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 81' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Spal |
| 87' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Marsura · Modena |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Marsura · Modena |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 64.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| 1129.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 3.49 |
| elo | 1414.49 | 1471.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.12 | -19.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.51 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |