← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Nov 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ascoli win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Amato Ciciretti · Ascoli |
| 26' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 31' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Sudtirol |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 55' | 🟨 | Amato Ciciretti · Ascoli |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Sudtirol |
| 56' | 🟨 | Claud Adjapong · Ascoli |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 60' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Sudtirol |
| 61' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 65' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 84' | ⚽ | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Sudtirol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 118.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1513.03 | 1514.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.64 | 39.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 15.04 | 15.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.73 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 29.31 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.58 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |