← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Nov 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Spal win | 20% | 4.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spal −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 41' | ⚽ | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fiordaliso · Spal |
| 63' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 65' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Spal |
| 76' | 🟨 | Enrico Alfonso · Spal |
| 77' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 271.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1540.79 | 1443.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.21 | 8.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 14.95 | 15.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |