← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Nov 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Zito Luvumbo · Cagliari Calcio |
| 32' | ⚽ | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 53' | 🟨 | Franco Carboni · Cagliari Calcio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 67' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nahitan Nández · Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 636.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1570.92 | 1542.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.74 | -7.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 30.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 15.77 | 15.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 26.59 |
| state index | 1.18 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |