← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Nov 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 58% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Cosenza win | 15% | 7.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cosenza −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cosenza |
| 25' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 60' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 61' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 81' | ⚽ | Enrico Brignola · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 514.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1464.33 | 1367.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.12 | -19.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 15.04 | 15.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.93 | 27.08 |
| state index | 0.12 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |