← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Nov 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| Modena win | 19% | 5.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Modena −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Tommaso Silvestri · Modena |
| 18' | ⚽ | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 26' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Modena |
| 44' | 🟨 | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 62' | 🟨 | Francesco Renzetti · Modena |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · Modena |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mauro Coppolaro · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 117.00 | 1121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1530.26 | 1396.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.56 | -5.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.03 | 28.05 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |