← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Brescia win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Brescia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Ternana |
| 62' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1380.00 | 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1486.84 | 1540.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.29 | -14.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 25.62 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |