← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Cosenza win | 31% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Cosenza +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Andrea Vallocchia · Cosenza |
| 11' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Palermo |
| 17' | 🟨 | Mladen Devetak · Palermo |
| 41' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Pietro Martino · Cosenza |
| 50' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Michele Rigione · Cosenza |
| 59' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 60' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cosenza |
| 63' | ⚽ | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 11.00 | 103.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1354.15 | 1530.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.77 | -1.62 |
| eye test v1 | -1.27 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| league points | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 26.95 |
| state index | -1.52 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |