← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Perugia win | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Samuel Di Carmine · Perugia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Marsura · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1107.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1397.43 | 1425.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.66 | -30.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 27.56 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |